The Week In College Football A HighStakes Michigan StateOhio State Game

Iowa 10-022%5%24%96%14% Notre Dame 9-126%2%31%63%40% Alabama1>99% Oklahoma 9-145%4%60%92%46% Florida State 8-2<1%<1%<1%1%40% North Carolina21 Clemson147 TEAMFINAL LOSSESPLAYOFF CHANCES Houston 10-01%<1%1%4%31% Ohio State21 Playoff chances if they … (The dash in Alabama’s row denotes that we had a sample-size issue with that projection. They lost to Charleston Southern only three of 5,000 times in our simulation. That they went on to make the playoff two of those three times is statistical noise, so we excluded that number from the table.)What to watch for this weekBig TenGame of the week: Ohio State vs. Michigan StateWe already outlined the stakes of this game. Ohio State is a 79 percent favorite to win, according to predictions based on the Football Power Index (FPI). But the Buckeyes have had a tumultuous — though successful — turnover at quarterback, with J.T. Barrett replacing a slumping Cardale Jones, only for Barrett to get suspended for one game, allowing Jones to fill in until Barrett returned. Barrett will start against the Spartans.Big 12Game of the week: Oklahoma State vs. BaylorThe Big 12 carnage threatens to continue! After Oklahoma State took care of TCU two weeks ago and then Oklahoma impressively took down Baylor last week, the conference is showing how its November bloodbath schedule can wreak havoc. Oklahoma — which is now comfortably the best college football team according to FPI — takes on TCU in a game it’s expected to win 74 percent of the time. A closer matchup involves the other Oklahoma school: undefeated Oklahoma State, ranked No. 6 by the committee,3All the rankings I use in this article are the committee’s. is an underdog at home against Baylor. Should the Cowboys lose, as FPI predicts is 62 percent likely, their chances of making the playoff fall to 10 percent.SECGame of the week: LSU vs. MississippiArkansas’s thumping of LSU cleared up the SEC end-game scenarios — while sending me into an existential spiral about my beloved Tigers. But should Ole Miss lose against LSU this week (a 35 percent probability), Alabama clinches the SEC West. That means the Tide can formally book its ticket to face Florida, the winners of the East.ACCGame of the week: North Carolina vs. Virginia TechNorth Carolina is having a great season, but like Notre Dame, the Tar Heels aren’t guaranteed a playoff spot should they win out. The one-loss Tar Heels look set to face Clemson in the ACC title game — but even if they win out the regular season and beat the No. 1 Tigers, our model projects UNC as having only a 55 percent shot at the playoff. In short, the ACC is notably weak, and outside of an undefeated Clemson, there is no sure thing.Pac-12Game of the week: Utah vs. UCLAYou can watch Utah vs. UCLA because it’s the best and closest Pac-12 matchup of the week, but it won’t have major playoff implications. Practically nothing in the Pac-12 does. Both Stanford and Utah — the conference’s shining lights to make the playoff — lost last week. That said, Stanford still has an 11 percent chance of getting in. As a curious reader asked on Twitter: Under what scenario could that happen?Let’s play college football god for a minute (using the first table above as our guide). For a two-loss Stanford to get in, they’d first need to beat Notre Dame, which would presumably eliminate the Irish from the playoff hunt. Then they’d need to see carnage elsewhere. The Cardinal could pray for Big 12 chaos — TCU losing to Oklahoma and then beating Baylor; Oklahoma State losing to Baylor but beating Oklahoma, for instance. Or if UNC upsets Clemson, the ACC might not be assured of a playoff bid. Although these cases aren’t likely, they’re possible. Hence the 11 percent odds for Stanford.Beyond The Power FiveGame of the week: Houston vs. UConnCongrats, Cougars! You’re one of the five undefeated teams remaining, but you’re still a long shot for the playoff if you win out: 4 percent, by our model’s estimate. To crash the playoff, Houston needs the major teams to seriously cannibalize one another’s chances.One other team deserves some respect: Navy. The 8-1 Midshipmen have an outside shot (3 percent) at the playoff if they win out. Their matchup with Houston next week should be a curious contrast in styles, with fringe playoff implications. North Carolina155 Utah24 Michigan St. 9-112%1%46%95%11% Memphis 8-2<1%<1%<1%<1%43% Michigan St.22 Michigan 8-29%<1%14%47%19% Michigan St.195 Oklahoma St.098 TCU136 Florida27 North Carolina 9-19%<1%15%55%15% TCU 9-15%<1%19%36%15% Notre Dame163 Houston04 Clemson0>99 Navy13 Notre Dame22 Iowa119 Ohio State 10-062%29%72%>99%35% Utah 8-21%<1%3%4%34% Iowa096 Navy 8-1<1%<1%<1%3%17% Stanford 8-211%<1%15%49%21% In 5,000 simulations of our College Football Playoff model, a one-loss1How exactly those losses occur — against which teams, in the regular season or conference championship game — is not specified in this simulation. Ohio State team makes the playoff 52 percent of the time. (The table next to this paragraph shows teams’ odds of making the playoff under different scenarios — Iowa going undefeated, Alabama losing a second game or Ohio State losing its first one, for example. These scenarios factor in the outcomes of conference championship games.) That 52 percent probability represents Ohio State’s chance should the Buckeyes take any one loss; if they lose to the Spartans specifically, their odds to make it are only 29 percent.So obviously this week’s game is hugely important. But even at 29 percent, Ohio State would have a higher chance of making the playoffs than Notre Dame does now. They have more leeway than nearly any other team to lose this weekend, as you can see in the second column of the what-if table farther down in this piece. That said, the Michigan State matchup matters for an additional reason: The winner will likely get to play in the Big Ten championship game.2Unless Michigan State blows it by losing to Penn State next week — which it has a 24 percent chance of doing. That’s another way Ohio State could back into the playoff. If the Buckeyes lose this weekend and then go on to win out, the College Football Playoff committee will have to decide that Ohio State belongs in the playoff without seeing the team play in a conference championship game. Still, Ohio State would have just one loss in that scenario and would have ended its season with a regular-season win at Michigan — and remains the defending national champion. It’s far from the worst résumé, and it’s plausible that the committee could add Ohio State alongside Michigan State or Iowa.Ohio State isn’t the only team that will still have a shot if it falters: Should Clemson or Alabama lose before Dec. 6, our model gives a one-loss Tigers squad or a two-loss Tide team a better than one in three shot of making it into the playoff. Other teams, too — such as Iowa, Oklahoma State and Florida — have some reasonable shot at the playoff should they lose one additional game before season’s end, since they could still win their conferences. (Michigan State, however, is basically eliminated from playoff contention with a loss.)Let’s dwell on the two-loss team scenarios for a second. Contrary to some folk wisdom, incurring two losses does not automatically disqualify an elite team from the playoff. (It’s also not that uncommon historically to have a two-loss team ranked in the top four before the bowl games.) According to our simulations, there is about a one in eight chance that a two-loss team makes it. (To be more exact, in 11.6 percent of our simulations at least one two-loss team makes the playoff.) Usually the two-loss team is Alabama, which has a 35 percent chance of making it with two losses, but Florida (7 percent) and Oklahoma (4 percent) stand an outside shot, too, should they drop another game.These scenarios also identify the most likely odd man out: Notre Dame. Sorry, Irish fans, but your team is the best squad not fully in control of its own destiny. Yes, the College Football Playoff committee currently has Notre Dame ranked No. 4, but they are at risk of being bumped (with only a 63 percent chance of making it in if they win all their remaining games). Think of it this way: If Clemson, Ohio State and Alabama win out, they’re locks — that’s no surprise; but as the what-if table shows below, our model expects an undefeated Oklahoma State or even a one-loss Oklahoma to have a better shot at the No. 4 spot than the Irish. The latter scenario seems like it would be especially maddening to Irish fans, as Oklahoma’s loss came to Texas — a team Notre Dame destroyed 38-3 early in the season.What-ifs of the week Ohio State152 Michigan247 Oklahoma St.118 Mississippi 7-3<1%<1%<1%<1%32% Ohio State vs. Michigan State is this week’s marquee matchup in the college football world. If either team wants to ensure a playoff appearance, it needs to win out — but the Buckeyes and Spartans have to first get past each other. (And come the Big Ten championship game, one will also need to get past Iowa, if things hold.)But a win here matters more for one-loss Michigan State. It’s not that Ohio State can take a mulligan; the undefeated Buckeyes just have more leeway. Oklahoma St. 10-025%10%45%98%17% Oregon 7-3<1%<1%<1%<1%32% LSU 7-2<1%<1%<1%<1%28% Wisconsin 8-2<1%<1%<1%<1%53% Alabama 9-163%—63%>99%47% Florida State21 Ohio State0>99 Northwestern 8-2<1%<1%<1%<1%14% Oklahoma24 TeamPlayoff ChancesLose nextWin nextWin outWin out likelihood USC 7-31%<1%2%5%25% Stanford249 Baylor158 Baylor 8-116%<1%28%58%27% Florida190 Alabama235 Clemson23 Florida 9-123%1%23%90%21% Clemson 10-068%35%69%>99%48% USC35 Oklahoma192 read more

Perfection Ohio State football tops Michigan finishes 120

Ohio State football realized perfection for the sixth time in its 123-year history. The 109th meeting between OSU and Michigan, ranked No. 4 and No. 20, respectively, by the Associated Press for the teams’ 2012 meeting, saw the Buckeyes polish off a 12-0 season under the direction of first-year coach Urban Meyer. OSU defeated UM, 26-21, Saturday at Ohio Stadium. As some expected, the dual-threat quarterbacking combo of Michigan senior Denard Robinson and junior Devin Gardner caused problems for the Buckeyes. Gardner threw for 171 yards, one touchdown and one costly interception on 11-of-20 attempts. Robinson did not attempt a pass in the game, but did lineup under center. He rushed for 122 yards and a touchdown. OSU’s defensive performance, particularly in the second half, was more than the Wolverines could overcome. UM failed to drive into the red zone in the second half and an interception by junior safety C.J. Barnett with less than five minutes to play nearly clinched the win. The Buckeyes defense stifled the UM attack despite missing senior defensive end John Simon, who missed out on Senior Day festivities and the competition with a right knee injury sustained a week ago in a game against Wisconsin.  After the interception, OSU junior running back Carlos Hyde, who ran for 146 yards and a touchdown, took the game over, helping the Buckeyes to two first downs to bleed the fourth-quarter clock out and win The Game. Fans stormed the field. Players rejoiced. Meyer pumped his fists wildly. However unrealistic the expectations of an undefeated season might have seemed when Meyer was hired in late November 2011, he had made good on them. With the win, OSU remains in play for the AP‘s national title crown.  The victory is OSU’s 44th in the history of The Game, though UM, eliminated from Big Ten title contention after Nebraska won on Friday, still owns the all-time series advantage with a 58-44-6 record. The largest Ohio Stadium crowd in the history of the OSU-UM rivalry (105,899) assembled in a bitter chill and light but steady snowfall throughout most of the first half. OSU sophomore quarterback Braxton Miller was 14-of-18 for 189 yards and one touchdown. Buckeyes junior receiver Corey Brown muffed a punt that led to points for UM, but did his best to make up for the uncharacteristic error as he caught eight passes for 95 yards and a touchdown. OSU junior kicker Drew Basil was the high scorer in the contest. Basil, who only attempted six kicks coming into the team’s 12th game, tallied 14 points while connecting four-of-five of his field goal tries from 41, 52, 28 and 25 yards. In addition to help close out the win for OSU, Hyde also helped the Buckeyes jump to an early lead. Hyde blew through the Michigan line 2:19 into the game, scurrying into the end zone on a 3-yard run to put OSU up, 7-0, on the very first possession of the game. The early score was keyed by 52-yard pass reception by sophomore receiver Devin Smith, who broke loose, gathered the deep ball from Miller and joined many of the OSU faithful in attendance in a celebratory bounce. The game’s back-and-forth tenor would be established by Gardner on the next drive when he found senior receiver Roy Roundtree on a 75-yard reception to level the score. Roundtree broke down the east sideline in front of the Wolverines bench and, after slowing his run for a blocker, traipsed into the end zone. The weather seemed to mimic the intensity of the rivalry in that moment as the snow began to fall heavier. Much of the intrigue in The Game centers around the history of the respective programs, and OSU paid homage to its greatest football triumph of the last decade when the 2002 national championship team was honored between the first and second quarters. Former Buckeye coach Jim Tressel, once shamed by the “Tattoo-Gate” scandal that resulted in his forced resignation as OSU coach, was hoisted onto the shoulders of his former players, much to the delight of many in Ohio Stadium. Brown had scored two punt-return touchdowns coming into the team’s final game. His muffed punt early in the second quarter resulted in threatening position for UM on the OSU 25-yard line, and a roughing the passer penalty on OSU redshirt senior defensive lineman Nathan Williams pushed the visitors closer to a score. Gardner eventually capped the drive, scoring on a 2-yard quarterback-keeper run to put the Wolverines in front, 14-10. The lead was the first for UM in Ohio Stadium since the team’s 2006 meeting, which OSU won, 42-39. The teams fought to gain an edge heading into half, and OSU inched its nose in front when Miller found Brown on a 14-yard completion to go back in front at 17-14 with 1:30 to play in the first half. UM retook possession with 90 seconds to play until the break, and retook the lead when Robinson scampered 67 yards into the end zone, gesturing to fans in the south stand after he crossed the goal line. With the wind at his back, Basil uncorked a 52-yard field goal to send OSU into break trailing, 21-20. Basil then opened the scoring in the second half, connecting from 28 yards to put OSU back in front, 23-21. When UM assumed possession, OSU used a Robinson fumble to attempt to assume control of the game. OSU junior safety Christian Bryant gouged the ball from Robinson grasp at the 7:26 mark in the third quarter and Williams recovered the ball on the UM 37-yard line. A pensive Ohio Stadium crowd was lifted for the moment, but the drive ended with Basil’s first field goal miss of the day after the a 3rd-down snap flew over Miller’s head, causing a fumble the quarterback dove to recover. Basil’s were the only points of the third quarter. Instead of scores, OSU and Michigan traded venomous hits, bellying up to the opposition on what seemed like every hit. One such hit, administered to Gardner with less than nine minutes to play, caused a fumble that OSU junior defensive lineman Johnathan Hankins fell gather on the Wolverines’ 10-yard line. The red zone opportunity had potential to put the 2012 edition of The Game on ice, but ended with Basil’s fourth field goal of the game. He hit from 25 yards out to push the Buckeyes’ lead to 26-21. The clincher came just moments later when Barnett intercepted Gardner, leading to the game-clinching drive for OSU. OSU, which posted a 12-0 overall record and an 8-0 mark in the Big Ten, clinched the Big Ten Conference’s outright Leaders’ Division title last weekend at Wisconsin. The Buckeyes will now have to wait until after college football’s bowl season to learn its final positioning in the AP poll. read more

Deadline move Arsenal prepare Domagoj Vida bid for transfer deadline day

first_imgArsenal will make a late swoop for Domagoj Vida on transfer deadline day with Gunners set to offer £26.9m, according to Mirror UK.The Reds are willing to strengthen at their back and the Croatia international has been one of their priority following his impressive and successful World Cup.Arsenal is determined to bid £26.9m for the Besiktas defender believing the bid would help discourage competition from Liverpool.Jadon SanchoMerson believes Arsenal should sign Sancho Manuel R. Medina – September 14, 2019 Borussia Dortmund winger Jadon Sancho might be the perfect player to play for the Gunners, according to former England international Paul Merson.In the same vein, the Evening Standard claims that Unai Emery will make a move on the final day of the window ahead of Sunday’s game clash against Manchester City which will begin the Unai Emery era.Vida scored a header in the quarter-final against hosts Russia to give his side a 2-1 lead in extra time and when the match finished 2-2, Vida used his spot-kick in the penalty shootout to help his side advance.Vida picked up a runners-up medal as France defeated his side 4-2 in the final.last_img read more

Nasser AlKhelaifi Our fans will enjoy magical football moments in Manchester

first_imgParis Saint-Germain chairman and CEO Nasser Al-Khelaifi has reacted to Paris Saint-Germain draw with Manchester United in the UEFA Champions League last 16 round.He boast that his side’s fans will have to watch their side have magical football moments.Speaking to the club’s official website Al-Khelaifi said:Neymar, BrazilNeymar can win the Ballon d’Or, says Ander Herrera Andrew Smyth – September 13, 2019 An “excited” Ander Herrera believes new Paris Saint-Germain team-mate Neymar is a contender for the Ballon d’Or alongside Kylian Mbappe. “We face Manchester United for the first time in our club’s history. We look forward to two wonderful Champions League evenings against a respected and prestigious opponent in the last 16. Our fans will enjoy magical football moments in Manchester and at the Parc des Princes. As I always say, we must be ready to face anyone, and ready we will be!”PSG qualified for the last 16 by topping Group C with 11 points in 6 matches, progressed beyond Liverpool who has secured 9 points, Napoli with 9 points and Belgrade with just 4 points.Manchester United finished second in Group H with 10 points, behind Juventus that has 12 points as well as ahead of Valencia that has 8 points and Bern 4 points.last_img read more

PNP Administration announces plan to ease Blue Hills traffic congestion

first_imgFacebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, 03 Mar 2016 – A two pronged solution is today announced by Government to alleviate the often maddening traffic congestion exiting Blue Hills, Providenciales. Re-engineering and another useful exit from the busiest part of the country, especially on school mornings, is believed to be the relief motorists have been pushing for, for years. Specifically, the Ministry of Housing, Infrastructure and Planning says it will reconfigure the Blue Hills roundabout creating a left and right lane, to guide traffic out of the area in two directions on a broader road strip… no longer will drivers be stuck in one queue. It was also explained that a road into Kew Town will be created for traffic headed south and toward the airport. Minister Amanda Missick offered comment, “I am well pleased with the work completed thus far by the Public Works Team and look forward, as do the residents and visitors of Providenciales, to the finished project.”Already, said Minister Amanda, phase one of the work has begun… phase two, she said will begin within 2016. TCI Country Leaders condemn vicious memes Recommended for you Opposition Leader responds to Throne Speech  11 days later; says PDM Govt plan puts TCI in ‘deep doo doo’ Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Olive branch extended by Opposition Leader, says it is time for Turks and Caicos leaders to unite Related Items:blue hills, minister amanda missick, pnp, traffic congestionlast_img read more